Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky828
Cleveland, OHclear sky698
Houston, TXbroken clouds808
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds617
Los Angeles, CAbroken clouds597
St. Louis, MOfew clouds667
Sacramento, CAclear sky646
Anaheim, CAfew clouds615
Miami, FLscattered clouds775
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky765
Mexico City, Mexicolight rain714
San Francisco, CAfew clouds564
Seattle, WAovercast clouds554
Atlanta, GAclear sky663
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds623
Cincinnati, OHmoderate rain623
Detroit, MIclear sky623
Kansas City, MOclear sky593
Milwaukee, WIlight rain623
Phoenix, AZfew clouds753
Pittsburgh, PAclear sky643
San Diego, CAfew clouds613
Tampa, FLfew clouds753
Toronto, ONlight rain533
Baltimore, MDbroken clouds561
Boston, MAclear sky481
Bronx, NYclear sky531
Denver, COovercast clouds481
Minneapolis, MNlight rain451
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds531
Queens, NYclear sky531
Washington, DCclear sky561
Data last updated: 1777344968
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