Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky718
Houston, TXbroken clouds798
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds688
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds728
Phoenix, AZscattered clouds737
Tampa, FLfew clouds797
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds756
Anaheim, CAovercast clouds625
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds585
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds715
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky795
Denver, COclear sky554
Los Angeles, CAovercast clouds604
Miami, FLlight rain753
Sacramento, CAclear sky523
San Diego, CAbroken clouds633
San Francisco, CAfew clouds523
Atlanta, GAclear sky762
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds512
Washington, DCovercast clouds542
Boston, MAovercast clouds381
Bronx, NYovercast clouds441
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds471
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds451
Detroit, MIovercast clouds391
Milwaukee, WIheavy intensity rain371
Minneapolis, MNsnow331
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds461
Queens, NYovercast clouds441
Seattle, WAovercast clouds441
Toronto, ONovercast clouds361
Data last updated: 1775145370
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