Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CAclear sky8910
Anaheim, CAclear sky738
Los Angeles, CAclear sky737
Tampa, FLscattered clouds797
Atlanta, GAclear sky666
Mexico City, Mexicolight rain636
Miami, FLlight rain826
Phoenix, AZclear sky1006
Arlington, TXclear sky685
Kansas City, MOclear sky635
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds565
Denver, COfew clouds744
Houston, TXclear sky754
San Diego, CAbroken clouds654
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky804
Baltimore, MDfew clouds523
Bronx, NYbroken clouds533
Cincinnati, OHscattered clouds563
Minneapolis, MNclear sky613
Queens, NYscattered clouds553
Seattle, WAbroken clouds643
St. Louis, MOclear sky623
Washington, DCfew clouds513
Boston, MAfew clouds481
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds451
Chicago (NL), ILscattered clouds441
Cleveland, OHclear sky491
Detroit, MIclear sky461
Milwaukee, WIscattered clouds401
Philadelphia, PAfew clouds491
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds511
Toronto, ONclear sky461
Data last updated: 1778554570
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