Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky768
Chicago (NL), ILbroken clouds748
Houston, TXovercast clouds748
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds648
St. Louis, MOclear sky738
Anaheim, CAfew clouds676
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds645
Kansas City, MOvery heavy rain595
Los Angeles, CAclear sky655
Phoenix, AZscattered clouds795
Sacramento, CAclear sky675
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds585
Washington, DCscattered clouds675
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds744
Cincinnati, OHclear sky674
Cleveland, OHfew clouds644
Pittsburgh, PAscattered clouds644
San Diego, CAscattered clouds644
Tampa Bay, FLfew clouds714
Tampa, FLovercast clouds714
Atlanta, GAclear sky683
Bronx, NYclear sky653
Denver, COclear sky563
Detroit, MIclear sky583
Miami, FLlight rain713
Milwaukee, WIclear sky693
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds613
Queens, NYbroken clouds653
Seattle, WAclear sky543
Toronto, ONscattered clouds523
Boston, MAscattered clouds441
Data last updated: 1776999369
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