Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky758
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds698
Houston, TXovercast clouds748
Kansas City, MOclear sky698
Phoenix, AZovercast clouds748
Seattle, WAclear sky698
St. Louis, MOclear sky738
Los Angeles, CAscattered clouds607
Baltimore, MDclear sky646
Chicago (AL), ILmoderate rain636
Philadelphia, PAscattered clouds636
Toronto, ONscattered clouds636
Anaheim, CAovercast clouds615
Miami, FLlight rain755
Milwaukee, WIclear sky635
Queens, NYfew clouds615
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds575
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds755
Washington, DCbroken clouds655
Boston, MAfew clouds584
Bronx, NYclear sky634
Chicago (NL), ILmoderate rain634
Cincinnati, OHclear sky674
Detroit, MIbroken clouds634
Mexico City, Mexicoovercast clouds754
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds664
Sacramento, CAmoderate rain564
San Diego, CAovercast clouds624
Atlanta, GAclear sky623
Denver, COovercast clouds533
Tampa, FLbroken clouds743
Minneapolis, MNclear sky461
Data last updated: 1777949769
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