Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL broken clouds 75 8
Oakland, CA overcast clouds 57 4
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 60 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 63 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 57 3
San Diego, CA clear sky 57 3
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 56 3
Bronx, NY light rain 47 2
Queens, NY moderate rain 48 2
Williamsport, PA few clouds 42 1
Anaheim, CA clear sky 46 1
Arlington, TX clear sky 56 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 50 1
Baltimore, MD few clouds 50 1
Boston, MA moderate rain 45 1
Chicago (AL), IL snow 30 1
Chicago (NL), IL snow 30 1
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 33 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 35 1
Denver, CO broken clouds 41 1
Detroit, MI light snow 36 1
Houston, TX clear sky 61 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 36 1
Milwaukee, WI snow 32 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 35 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 45 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 39 1
Seattle, WA broken clouds 43 1
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 37 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 41 1
Washington, DC clear sky 51 1
Data last updated: 1732204567
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