Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL few clouds 71 5
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 73 5
Anaheim, CA broken clouds 62 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 61 4
San Diego, CA broken clouds 62 4
Denver, CO clear sky 56 3
Houston, TX clear sky 64 3
Oakland, CA few clouds 57 3
San Francisco, CA few clouds 58 3
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 62 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 38 1
Arlington, TX clear sky 55 1
Atlanta, GA few clouds 39 1
Baltimore, MD few clouds 41 1
Boston, MA few clouds 37 1
Bronx, NY broken clouds 40 1
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 30 1
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 31 1
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 27 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 32 1
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 35 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 32 1
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 32 1
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 22 1
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 40 1
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 35 1
Queens, NY broken clouds 41 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 37 1
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 30 1
Toronto, ON few clouds 35 1
Washington, DC few clouds 41 1
Data last updated: 1733248567
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