Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky778
Chicago (AL), ILclear sky728
Chicago (NL), ILclear sky728
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds668
Detroit, MIscattered clouds698
Houston, TXscattered clouds818
Kansas City, MOclear sky708
Miami, FLlight rain778
Milwaukee, WIclear sky708
Toronto, ONovercast clouds658
Atlanta, GAclear sky597
St. Louis, MOclear sky697
Williamsport, PAfew clouds605
Cincinnati, OHclear sky665
Phoenix, AZovercast clouds675
Tampa, FLclear sky695
Baltimore, MDclear sky584
Bronx, NYfew clouds614
Philadelphia, PAclear sky594
Pittsburgh, PAfew clouds604
Queens, NYbroken clouds614
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky714
Washington, DCclear sky574
Anaheim, CAfew clouds553
Boston, MAovercast clouds533
Denver, COovercast clouds533
Los Angeles, CAfew clouds543
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds533
San Diego, CAscattered clouds613
San Francisco, CAovercast clouds533
Las Vegas, NVbroken clouds511
Sacramento, CAclear sky491
Seattle, WAovercast clouds481
Data last updated: 1791892567
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