Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZclear sky9310
Kansas City, MOclear sky738
Sacramento, CAclear sky698
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds608
Tampa, FLovercast clouds828
Anaheim, CAclear sky767
Las Vegas, NVclear sky847
Arlington, TXclear sky756
Los Angeles, CAclear sky756
Houston, TXclear sky795
Miami, FLfew clouds835
St. Louis, MOclear sky715
Tampa Bay, FLbroken clouds825
Chicago (NL), ILscattered clouds664
Denver, COclear sky724
San Diego, CAclear sky734
Atlanta, GAmoderate rain613
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds603
Boston, MAbroken clouds543
Chicago (AL), ILfew clouds673
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds673
Milwaukee, WIscattered clouds593
Minneapolis, MNclear sky623
Seattle, WAbroken clouds523
Washington, DCovercast clouds603
Detroit, MIfew clouds582
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds602
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds542
Toronto, ONclear sky512
Williamsport, PAovercast clouds491
Bronx, NYovercast clouds631
Cleveland, OHovercast clouds561
Queens, NYovercast clouds631
Data last updated: 1791600968
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