Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FLbroken clouds738
Los Angeles, CAovercast clouds595
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky655
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds654
Sacramento, CAmoderate rain574
Seattle, WAlight rain534
Anaheim, CAlight rain623
Arlington, TXclear sky533
Houston, TXclear sky583
Las Vegas, NVovercast clouds533
San Diego, CAmoderate rain613
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds613
Tampa, FLbroken clouds633
Williamsport, PAlight rain391
Atlanta, GAfew clouds411
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds441
Boston, MAheavy intensity rain371
Bronx, NYmoderate rain391
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds361
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds361
Cincinnati, OHmoderate rain421
Cleveland, OHovercast clouds401
Denver, COclear sky441
Detroit, MIbroken clouds391
Kansas City, MOclear sky291
Milwaukee, WIclear sky321
Minneapolis, MNclear sky251
Philadelphia, PAlight rain411
Pittsburgh, PAfew clouds371
Queens, NYmoderate rain401
St. Louis, MOscattered clouds381
Toronto, ONovercast clouds361
Washington, DCbroken clouds461
Data last updated: 1794574569
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