Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky9310
Cincinnati, OHscattered clouds8710
Houston, TXclear sky9210
Kansas City, MOclear sky8710
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds9410
St. Louis, MOclear sky9010
Sacramento, CAclear sky838
Anaheim, CAclear sky818
Atlanta, GAbroken clouds838
Chicago (NL), ILfew clouds808
Detroit, MIclear sky818
Los Angeles, CAclear sky808
Milwaukee, WIclear sky828
Minneapolis, MNclear sky818
Pittsburgh, PAclear sky818
Seattle, WAclear sky718
Tampa, FLbroken clouds878
Toronto, ONscattered clouds768
Chicago (AL), ILfew clouds817
Miami, FLovercast clouds847
San Diego, CAbroken clouds807
San Francisco, CAclear sky727
Cleveland, OHfew clouds796
Boston, MAovercast clouds714
Baltimore, MDlight rain673
Bronx, NYlight rain673
Denver, COclear sky643
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds673
Queens, NYovercast clouds673
Washington, DCovercast clouds673
Data last updated: 1758131767
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