Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FLlight rain778
Houston, TXbroken clouds747
Phoenix, AZclear sky736
Anaheim, CAclear sky685
Arlington, TXovercast clouds715
Los Angeles, CAscattered clouds675
San Diego, CAclear sky695
San Francisco, CAclear sky615
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds614
Las Vegas, NVclear sky694
Sacramento, CAclear sky624
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky714
Tampa, FLclear sky714
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds593
Boston, MAovercast clouds533
Bronx, NYovercast clouds583
Chicago (AL), ILmoderate rain603
Chicago (NL), ILlight rain603
Denver, COscattered clouds573
Kansas City, MOlight rain593
Milwaukee, WIovercast clouds593
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds573
Queens, NYovercast clouds593
Seattle, WAscattered clouds553
St. Louis, MOscattered clouds603
Washington, DCbroken clouds553
Cincinnati, OHfew clouds522
Cleveland, OHfew clouds522
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds582
Toronto, ONclear sky512
Williamsport, PAclear sky491
Detroit, MIovercast clouds501
Pittsburgh, PAclear sky451
Data last updated: 1790340964
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