Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL broken clouds 62 6
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 60 5
Anaheim, CA clear sky 63 4
Phoenix, AZ overcast clouds 71 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 51 4
Oakland, CA overcast clouds 56 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 60 3
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 56 3
Williamsport, PA clear sky 19 1
Arlington, TX clear sky 49 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 35 1
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 30 1
Boston, MA clear sky 20 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 23 1
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 23 1
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 23 1
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 28 1
Cleveland, OH light snow 24 1
Denver, CO few clouds 50 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 20 1
Houston, TX few clouds 53 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 31 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 13 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 18 1
Philadelphia, PA clear sky 26 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 23 1
Queens, NY clear sky 24 1
Seattle, WA light rain 49 1
St. Louis, MO clear sky 30 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 15 1
Washington, DC clear sky 31 1
Data last updated: 1734828968
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