Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL clear sky 63 8
Oakland, CA light rain 59 5
Anaheim, CA clear sky 57 4
Houston, TX few clouds 62 4
San Francisco, CA light rain 59 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 63 4
Arlington, TX clear sky 55 3
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 58 3
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 67 3
San Diego, CA few clouds 57 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 38 2
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 40 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 44 2
Bronx, NY light rain 37 2
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 38 2
Queens, NY light rain 37 2
Washington, DC overcast clouds 42 2
Atlanta, GA clear sky 42 1
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 44 1
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 44 1
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 44 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 44 1
Denver, CO broken clouds 48 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 44 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 36 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 43 1
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 32 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 42 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 50 1
St. Louis, MO scattered clouds 40 1
Toronto, ON few clouds 42 1
Data last updated: 1732330566
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