Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL broken clouds 74 8
Oakland, CA overcast clouds 56 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 62 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 54 3
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 54 3
San Francisco, CA light rain 55 3
Queens, NY light rain 47 2
Williamsport, PA scattered clouds 42 1
Anaheim, CA clear sky 48 1
Arlington, TX clear sky 50 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 46 1
Baltimore, MD few clouds 47 1
Boston, MA light rain 46 1
Bronx, NY light rain 46 1
Chicago (AL), IL snow 31 1
Chicago (NL), IL snow 31 1
Cincinnati, OH light snow 33 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 34 1
Denver, CO broken clouds 37 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 34 1
Houston, TX clear sky 55 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 34 1
Milwaukee, WI snow 31 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 34 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 45 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 39 1
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 49 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 43 1
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 37 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 40 1
Washington, DC few clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1732200967
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