Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 70 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 73 8
Tampa, FL few clouds 72 6
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 61 5
Miami, FL few clouds 76 5
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 58 4
Baltimore, MD few clouds 53 3
Denver, CO clear sky 52 3
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 54 3
Philadelphia, PA few clouds 53 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 51 3
San Diego, CA broken clouds 53 3
Washington, DC broken clouds 53 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 51 2
St. Louis, MO moderate rain 53 2
Sacramento, CA overcast clouds 50 1
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 50 1
Boston, MA light rain 48 1
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 46 1
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 47 1
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 50 1
Cleveland, OH clear sky 48 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 51 1
Los Angeles, CA few clouds 49 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 43 1
Minneapolis, MN moderate rain 51 1
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 47 1
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 51 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 47 1
Toronto, ON clear sky 48 1
Data last updated: 1745758570
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