Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 74 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 70 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 78 8
Tampa, FL few clouds 81 8
Denver, CO clear sky 64 6
Miami, FL overcast clouds 82 6
Baltimore, MD clear sky 59 5
Bronx, NY broken clouds 54 5
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 61 4
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 53 3
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 54 3
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 52 3
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 51 3
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 56 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 54 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 56 3
Washington, DC scattered clouds 59 3
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 57 2
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 54 2
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 54 2
Sacramento, CA overcast clouds 50 1
Boston, MA moderate rain 49 1
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 54 1
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 53 1
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 57 1
Cleveland, OH clear sky 53 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 52 1
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 51 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 49 1
Toronto, ON clear sky 54 1
Data last updated: 1745765768
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