Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TX clear sky 74 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 60 6
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 66 5
Miami, FL few clouds 72 4
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 65 4
Arlington, TX clear sky 56 3
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 54 3
Los Angeles, CA scattered clouds 58 3
Oakland, CA clear sky 51 3
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 59 3
San Francisco, CA clear sky 52 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 38 1
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 48 1
Boston, MA scattered clouds 35 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 47 1
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 40 1
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 40 1
Cincinnati, OH light rain 43 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 41 1
Denver, CO clear sky 27 1
Detroit, MI moderate rain 40 1
Kansas City, MO scattered clouds 37 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 30 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 25 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 44 1
Pittsburgh, PA moderate rain 41 1
Queens, NY broken clouds 47 1
Seattle, WA clear sky 41 1
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 40 1
Toronto, ON broken clouds 37 1
Washington, DC overcast clouds 49 1
Data last updated: 1732762565
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