Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TXclear sky8710
Miami, FLfew clouds9010
Las Vegas, NVlight rain669
Anaheim, CAovercast clouds678
Arlington, TXscattered clouds838
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds828
Los Angeles, CAbroken clouds688
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds798
Phoenix, AZfew clouds818
San Diego, CAlight rain668
St. Louis, MOclear sky788
Tampa, FLlight rain788
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds647
Chicago (AL), ILclear sky727
Chicago (NL), ILclear sky727
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds626
Denver, CObroken clouds735
Milwaukee, WIclear sky725
San Francisco, CAclear sky605
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds795
Toronto, ONlight rain625
Cleveland, OHlight rain634
Detroit, MIovercast clouds604
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds634
Sacramento, CAclear sky594
Williamsport, PAmoderate rain553
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds643
Pittsburgh, PAlight rain583
Washington, DCovercast clouds643
Bronx, NYmoderate rain582
Queens, NYmoderate rain592
Boston, MAovercast clouds581
Seattle, WAclear sky501
Data last updated: 1791737769
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