Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TXclear sky8610
Anaheim, CAbroken clouds708
Arlington, TXovercast clouds798
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds688
Los Angeles, CAbroken clouds697
Las Vegas, NVscattered clouds646
Miami, FLlight rain766
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds645
Minneapolis, MNclear sky695
San Diego, CAbroken clouds695
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds624
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds694
Sacramento, CAclear sky634
San Francisco, CAclear sky624
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds614
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds744
Tampa, FLmoderate rain744
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds623
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds703
Denver, CObroken clouds633
Queens, NYbroken clouds603
Baltimore, MDbroken clouds632
Boston, MAclear sky582
Detroit, MIclear sky652
Milwaukee, WIbroken clouds652
Pittsburgh, PAscattered clouds692
Toronto, ONbroken clouds632
Washington, DCbroken clouds662
Williamsport, PAclear sky621
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds631
Bronx, NYbroken clouds601
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds611
Seattle, WAovercast clouds481
Data last updated: 1793562967
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