Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 80 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 75 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 75 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 81 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 68 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 61 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 77 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 81 8
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 79 5
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 69 5
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 78 5
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 84 4
San Diego, CA few clouds 70 4
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 56 3
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 54 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 63 3
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 53 3
Miami, FL few clouds 79 3
Seattle, WA moderate rain 55 3
Washington, DC overcast clouds 72 2
Boston, MA scattered clouds 59 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 65 1
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 57 1
Detroit, MI clear sky 54 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 46 1
Minneapolis, MN heavy intensity rain 49 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 68 1
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 67 1
Queens, NY broken clouds 65 1
Toronto, ON scattered clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1745189768
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