Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 80 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 74 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 74 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 67 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 60 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 75 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 79 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 76 5
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 84 5
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 70 5
Atlanta, GA clear sky 77 4
Baltimore, MD clear sky 66 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 57 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 54 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 61 3
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 52 3
Miami, FL scattered clouds 77 3
Seattle, WA heavy intensity rain 54 3
Washington, DC clear sky 69 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 56 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 63 1
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 53 1
Detroit, MI clear sky 52 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 46 1
Minneapolis, MN heavy intensity rain 46 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 63 1
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 68 1
Queens, NY broken clouds 63 1
Toronto, ON broken clouds 45 1
Data last updated: 1745193367
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