Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 71 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 71 8
Miami, FL broken clouds 70 4
Phoenix, AZ overcast clouds 66 4
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 60 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 61 4
Anaheim, CA few clouds 56 3
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 54 3
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 54 3
Oakland, CA broken clouds 55 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 57 3
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 56 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 43 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 49 1
Baltimore, MD clear sky 45 1
Boston, MA few clouds 41 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 46 1
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 51 1
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 50 1
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 49 1
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 38 1
Denver, CO broken clouds 38 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 41 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 46 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 39 1
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 46 1
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 36 1
Queens, NY broken clouds 47 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 45 1
Toronto, ON few clouds 35 1
Washington, DC clear sky 46 1
Data last updated: 1732503366
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