Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 75 8
Miami, FL scattered clouds 71 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 71 7
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 79 7
Oakland, CA overcast clouds 62 5
Arlington, TX clear sky 68 4
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 61 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 63 4
Denver, CO scattered clouds 55 3
Houston, TX clear sky 69 3
San Diego, CA few clouds 70 3
Boston, MA heavy intensity rain 46 2
Bronx, NY light rain 46 2
Queens, NY light rain 47 2
Williamsport, PA light rain 41 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 51 1
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 44 1
Chicago (AL), IL light rain 38 1
Chicago (NL), IL light rain 38 1
Cincinnati, OH snow 32 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 34 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 36 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 43 1
Milwaukee, WI light rain 38 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 40 1
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 44 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 34 1
Seattle, WA moderate rain 48 1
St. Louis, MO clear sky 42 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 41 1
Washington, DC overcast clouds 45 1
Data last updated: 1732229768
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