Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 58 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 57 3
Oakland, CA clear sky 57 3
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 68 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 57 3
San Francisco, CA clear sky 58 3
Houston, TX broken clouds 60 2
Miami, FL clear sky 59 2
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 53 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 30 1
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 54 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 30 1
Baltimore, MD clear sky 33 1
Boston, MA scattered clouds 32 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 33 1
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 23 1
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 24 1
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 23 1
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 29 1
Denver, CO clear sky 44 1
Detroit, MI broken clouds 30 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 35 1
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 24 1
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 27 1
Philadelphia, PA clear sky 32 1
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 26 1
Queens, NY few clouds 34 1
Seattle, WA clear sky 36 1
St. Louis, MO clear sky 30 1
Toronto, ON broken clouds 32 1
Washington, DC clear sky 32 1
Data last updated: 1733280968
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