Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL scattered clouds 77 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 76 6
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 74 6
Oakland, CA broken clouds 63 6
Arlington, TX clear sky 69 5
Atlanta, GA clear sky 55 5
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 77 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 65 5
San Diego, CA few clouds 73 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 61 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 53 3
Houston, TX clear sky 71 3
Boston, MA heavy intensity rain 46 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 47 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 48 2
Williamsport, PA light rain 42 1
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 47 1
Chicago (AL), IL light rain 36 1
Chicago (NL), IL light rain 36 1
Cincinnati, OH light rain 33 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 36 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 38 1
Kansas City, MO clear sky 44 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 40 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 40 1
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 45 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 38 1
Seattle, WA broken clouds 51 1
St. Louis, MO few clouds 44 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 42 1
Washington, DC overcast clouds 46 1
Data last updated: 1732222567
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