Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 70 8
Houston, TX clear sky 77 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 62 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 60 8
Anaheim, CA broken clouds 58 5
Miami, FL few clouds 75 5
San Diego, CA broken clouds 60 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 68 5
Atlanta, GA few clouds 58 4
Washington, DC broken clouds 55 4
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 55 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 58 3
Los Angeles, CA few clouds 56 3
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 53 3
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 63 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 51 3
Bronx, NY broken clouds 51 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 45 1
Boston, MA scattered clouds 48 1
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 45 1
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 45 1
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 49 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 41 1
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 43 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 42 1
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 39 1
Oakland, CA broken clouds 50 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 43 1
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 50 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 43 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 44 1
Data last updated: 1732467367
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