Tuesday, June 11th – *Short-term “cooler-than-normal”…longer-term “warmer-than-normal”…Midwest/Mid-Atlantic/NE US temperature switch and its impact on the HRFI*

Cooler-than-normal temperatures today, Tuesday, June 11th, across the northeastern part of the nation

Temperatures have started off the week on the cool side of normal in the northeastern quadrant of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic/Midwest/Northeast US. This temperature pattern will continue into mid-week and then a dramatic warmup will ensue for the end of the week. That late week warmup to 90+ degrees in many spots will be rather short-lived as a Friday night cool frontal passage will bring temperatures down slightly this weekend in the northeastern part of the nation. By early next week, temperatures should again soar to well above-normal levels across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US…in other words, a topsy-turvy temperature pattern over the next several days.

Warmer-than-normal temperatures for next Tuesday, June 18th, across the northeastern part of the nation

The temperatures are indeed having a big impact on the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) with suppressed values early this week indicating the weather is not too favorable for the ball to travel. Examples of the low index games on Tuesday, June 11th include those in Boston, Milwaukee and Detroit where all of these sites may feature HRFI values of 4 or so.  By the end of the week, however, the HRFI should climb to high levels in baseball towns across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US – indicative of much better baseball conditions for hitting home runs. After a slight reduction in temperatures this weekend in this same part of the nation, it’ll turn much warmer-than-normal once again during the early part of next week and HRFIs are liable to soar to high index values.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian